Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning

Xinmin Huang; Xu Cai; Xinpeng Chen; Yiwei Hong; Zhengbo Yan; Jianwei Xiao

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning

Xinmin Huang, Xu Cai, Xinpeng Chen, Yiwei Hong, Zhengbo Yan, Jianwei Xiao^*

Published in American Journal of BioScience (Volume 11, Issue 6)

Received: 31 October 2023 Accepted: 15 November 2023 Published: 24 November 2023

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Abstract

Objective: This study aims to identify cuproptosis-related genes in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) and construct a clinical prediction model. Methods: The GSE33463 dataset was retrieved from the GEO database, and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to analyze the expression of pathways related to cuproptosis. Cuproptosis-related genes were extracted, and potential key genes for SSc were selected using the LASSO and Boruta methods to construct a clinical prediction model. The model's predictive ability was evaluated using K-nearest neighbors (KNN) and Lightgbm methods, with assessment based on ROC curves, PR curves, confusion matrices, F-values, and 5-fold cross-validation. The importance of model variables was evaluated using SHAP analysis. Results: Cuproptosis-related pathways were upregulated in SSc. Four key cuproptosis-related genes (PDHB, DLST, PDHA1, DBT) were identified using the LASSO and Boruta methods, leading to the construction of a clinical prediction model through multivariable logistic regression. The model exhibited a C-index of 0.91, an AUC of 0.914 under the ROC curve, and strong performance in 5-fold cross-validation. KNN and Lightgbm models achieved AUC values of 0.9243 and 0.9763, respectively. PR curve AUC values of 0.8492 and 0.9480 demonstrated high precision, while confusion matrix results revealed KNN and Lightgbm model accuracies of 0.8663 and 0.932, respectively. The models provide a basis for the early diagnosis of SSc. Conclusion: The clinical prediction model, based on four cuproptosis-related genes, demonstrates high predictive capability, aiding in the early diagnosis of SSc patients.

Published in	American Journal of BioScience (Volume 11, Issue 6)
DOI	10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12
Page(s)	142-149
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Systemic Sclerosis, Cuproptosis, Machine Learning, Prediction Model, Confusion Matrix

References

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APA Style

Huang, X., Cai, X., Chen, X., Hong, Y., Yan, Z., et al. (2023). Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. American Journal of BioScience, 11(6), 142-149. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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ACS Style

Huang, X.; Cai, X.; Chen, X.; Hong, Y.; Yan, Z., et al. Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. Am. J. BioScience 2023, 11(6), 142-149. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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AMA Style

Huang X, Cai X, Chen X, Hong Y, Yan Z, et al. Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. Am J BioScience. 2023;11(6):142-149. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12,
  author = {Xinmin Huang and Xu Cai and Xinpeng Chen and Yiwei Hong and Zhengbo Yan and Jianwei Xiao},
  title = {Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning},
  journal = {American Journal of BioScience},
  volume = {11},
  number = {6},
  pages = {142-149},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  abstract = {Objective: This study aims to identify cuproptosis-related genes in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) and construct a clinical prediction model. Methods: The GSE33463 dataset was retrieved from the GEO database, and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to analyze the expression of pathways related to cuproptosis. Cuproptosis-related genes were extracted, and potential key genes for SSc were selected using the LASSO and Boruta methods to construct a clinical prediction model. The model's predictive ability was evaluated using K-nearest neighbors (KNN) and Lightgbm methods, with assessment based on ROC curves, PR curves, confusion matrices, F-values, and 5-fold cross-validation. The importance of model variables was evaluated using SHAP analysis. Results: Cuproptosis-related pathways were upregulated in SSc. Four key cuproptosis-related genes (PDHB, DLST, PDHA1, DBT) were identified using the LASSO and Boruta methods, leading to the construction of a clinical prediction model through multivariable logistic regression. The model exhibited a C-index of 0.91, an AUC of 0.914 under the ROC curve, and strong performance in 5-fold cross-validation. KNN and Lightgbm models achieved AUC values of 0.9243 and 0.9763, respectively. PR curve AUC values of 0.8492 and 0.9480 demonstrated high precision, while confusion matrix results revealed KNN and Lightgbm model accuracies of 0.8663 and 0.932, respectively. The models provide a basis for the early diagnosis of SSc. Conclusion: The clinical prediction model, based on four cuproptosis-related genes, demonstrates high predictive capability, aiding in the early diagnosis of SSc patients.
},
 year = {2023}
}

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TY - JOUR
T1 - Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning
AU - Xinmin Huang
AU - Xu Cai
AU - Xinpeng Chen
AU - Yiwei Hong
AU - Zhengbo Yan
AU - Jianwei Xiao
Y1 - 2023/11/24
PY - 2023
N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12
DO - 10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12
T2 - American Journal of BioScience
JF - American Journal of BioScience
JO - American Journal of BioScience
SP - 142
EP - 149
PB - Science Publishing Group
SN - 2330-0167
UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12
AB - Objective: This study aims to identify cuproptosis-related genes in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) and construct a clinical prediction model. Methods: The GSE33463 dataset was retrieved from the GEO database, and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to analyze the expression of pathways related to cuproptosis. Cuproptosis-related genes were extracted, and potential key genes for SSc were selected using the LASSO and Boruta methods to construct a clinical prediction model. The model's predictive ability was evaluated using K-nearest neighbors (KNN) and Lightgbm methods, with assessment based on ROC curves, PR curves, confusion matrices, F-values, and 5-fold cross-validation. The importance of model variables was evaluated using SHAP analysis. Results: Cuproptosis-related pathways were upregulated in SSc. Four key cuproptosis-related genes (PDHB, DLST, PDHA1, DBT) were identified using the LASSO and Boruta methods, leading to the construction of a clinical prediction model through multivariable logistic regression. The model exhibited a C-index of 0.91, an AUC of 0.914 under the ROC curve, and strong performance in 5-fold cross-validation. KNN and Lightgbm models achieved AUC values of 0.9243 and 0.9763, respectively. PR curve AUC values of 0.8492 and 0.9480 demonstrated high precision, while confusion matrix results revealed KNN and Lightgbm model accuracies of 0.8663 and 0.932, respectively. The models provide a basis for the early diagnosis of SSc. Conclusion: The clinical prediction model, based on four cuproptosis-related genes, demonstrates high predictive capability, aiding in the early diagnosis of SSc patients.

VL - 11
IS - 6
ER -

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Author Information

Xinmin Huang

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China
Xu Cai

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China
Xinpeng Chen

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China
Yiwei Hong

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China
Zhengbo Yan

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China
Jianwei Xiao

Rheumatology, Shenzhen Futian Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Shenzhen, China

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APA Style

Huang, X., Cai, X., Chen, X., Hong, Y., Yan, Z., et al. (2023). Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. American Journal of BioScience, 11(6), 142-149. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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ACS Style

Huang, X.; Cai, X.; Chen, X.; Hong, Y.; Yan, Z., et al. Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. Am. J. BioScience 2023, 11(6), 142-149. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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AMA Style

Huang X, Cai X, Chen X, Hong Y, Yan Z, et al. Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning. Am J BioScience. 2023;11(6):142-149. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12,
  author = {Xinmin Huang and Xu Cai and Xinpeng Chen and Yiwei Hong and Zhengbo Yan and Jianwei Xiao},
  title = {Construction of a Clinical Prediction Model for Systemic Sclerosis Cuproptosis-Related Genes Using Machine Learning},
  journal = {American Journal of BioScience},
  volume = {11},
  number = {6},
  pages = {142-149},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajbio.20231106.12},
  abstract = {Objective: This study aims to identify cuproptosis-related genes in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc) and construct a clinical prediction model. Methods: The GSE33463 dataset was retrieved from the GEO database, and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to analyze the expression of pathways related to cuproptosis. Cuproptosis-related genes were extracted, and potential key genes for SSc were selected using the LASSO and Boruta methods to construct a clinical prediction model. The model's predictive ability was evaluated using K-nearest neighbors (KNN) and Lightgbm methods, with assessment based on ROC curves, PR curves, confusion matrices, F-values, and 5-fold cross-validation. The importance of model variables was evaluated using SHAP analysis. Results: Cuproptosis-related pathways were upregulated in SSc. Four key cuproptosis-related genes (PDHB, DLST, PDHA1, DBT) were identified using the LASSO and Boruta methods, leading to the construction of a clinical prediction model through multivariable logistic regression. The model exhibited a C-index of 0.91, an AUC of 0.914 under the ROC curve, and strong performance in 5-fold cross-validation. KNN and Lightgbm models achieved AUC values of 0.9243 and 0.9763, respectively. PR curve AUC values of 0.8492 and 0.9480 demonstrated high precision, while confusion matrix results revealed KNN and Lightgbm model accuracies of 0.8663 and 0.932, respectively. The models provide a basis for the early diagnosis of SSc. Conclusion: The clinical prediction model, based on four cuproptosis-related genes, demonstrates high predictive capability, aiding in the early diagnosis of SSc patients.
},
 year = {2023}
}

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VL - 11
IS - 6
ER -

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